For each Provider which appears in the 2017/18 Initial Teacher Training (ITT) Census and which has more than 50 graduates appearing in the School Workforce Census (SWC) a map of Normal Ellipse Curves and a Cumulative Density Curve are included to detail how far the trainees travel to their first job. We only include providers with more than 50 graduates gaining employment over the timeframe as the distribution of distances travelled between graduating and starting first job as NQT will be more reliable for providers with a higher number of entries in the data.

The Normal Ellipse Maps

A method called Multivariate Normal Confidence Ellipses is used to visualise how far people are travelling from their ITT provider to their first NQT post. This is used to see within what distance trainees are likely to stay after they have finished their ITT.

Normal Ellipses assume the data is distributed according to a bivariate normal distribution1. Each ellipse is a boundary - it is expected that the percentage of trainees associated with that ellipse (e.g. 50% of trainees from that provider) will start their first role as NQT within that confidence ellipse. These ellipses become more accurate with higher volumes of data, which in this case is more trainees.2

The Confidence Ellipses may cover areas where no leaver has ever been (for example over the sea) due to the shape of the bivariate normal distribution being an ellipse.

There is a Normal Confidence Ellipse map for each individual provider with a red point at the location of the provider with size proportional to the number of NQTs who have graduated from the provider between 2010 and 2015 and a map of the 95% confidence intervals for all the providers in the region.

The Cumulative Density Curve

The cumulative density curve represents the proportion of people from that provider that have travelled that distance or less from leaving the provider to starting their first post as NQT.

Provider Level Analysis

University of Sunderland

For University of Sunderland 53 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 15 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Sunderland is lower than the regional average.

University of Northumbria

For University of Northumbria 66 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 15 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Northumbria is higher than the regional average.

University of Durham

For University of Durham 34 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 29 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Durham is lower than the regional average.

Newcastle University

For Newcastle University 67 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 21 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Newcastle University is higher than the regional average.

Durham SCITT

For Durham SCITT 57 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 7 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Durham SCITT is higher than the regional average.

Gateshead Primary SCITT

For Gateshead Primary SCITT 76 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 6 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Gateshead Primary SCITT is higher than the regional average.

High Force Education SCITT

For High Force Education SCITT 59 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 3 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of High Force Education SCITT is higher than the regional average.

North Tyneside SCITT

For North Tyneside SCITT 86 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 3 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of North Tyneside SCITT is higher than the regional average.

North East Partnership SCITT (Physical Education)

For North East Partnership SCITT (Physical Education) 56 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 17 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of North East Partnership SCITT (Physical Education) is higher than the regional average.

Carmel Teacher Training Partnership (CTTP)

For Carmel Teacher Training Partnership (CTTP) 31 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 4 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Carmel Teacher Training Partnership (CTTP) is lower than the regional average.

Shotton Hall SCITT

For Shotton Hall SCITT 66 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 3 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Shotton Hall SCITT is higher than the regional average.

Redcar and Cleveland Teacher Training Partnership

For Redcar and Cleveland Teacher Training Partnership 94 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 3 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Redcar and Cleveland Teacher Training Partnership is higher than the regional average.

Stockton-on-Tees Teacher Training Partnership

For Stockton-on-Tees Teacher Training Partnership 82 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 4 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Stockton-on-Tees Teacher Training Partnership is higher than the regional average.

All providers in North East

For All providers in North East 55 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 18 % travel more than 100km.

  1. Due to an assumption being made about the data being normally distributed the confidence ellipses may not be a complete true reflection of the shape of the area where leavers travel post training. However, the size of the ellipses and their direction can provide meaningful comparison of distances travelled from each provider.↩

  2. The Ellipse’s two axes are in the directions of the eigenvectors of the covariance matrix of the bivariate normal distribution and the middle of the ellipse is the mean of the distribution. The half-length of the axes for each confidence level are the square root of the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix multiplied by the square root of the critical value of a Chi-Squared distribution with 2 degrees of freedom for alpha being 0.05 (1-0.95). We use the R package ggplot2 and the function stat_ellipse to calculate and draw the normal ellipse curves.↩