For each Provider which appears in the 2017/18 Initial Teacher Training (ITT) Census and which has more than 50 graduates appearing in the School Workforce Census (SWC) a map of Normal Ellipse Curves and a Cumulative Density Curve are included to detail how far the trainees travel to their first job. We only include providers with more than 50 graduates gaining employment over the timeframe as the distribution of distances travelled between graduating and starting first job as NQT will be more reliable for providers with a higher number of entries in the data.
A method called Multivariate Normal Confidence Ellipses is used to visualise how far people are travelling from their ITT provider to their first NQT post. This is used to see within what distance trainees are likely to stay after they have finished their ITT.
Normal Ellipses assume the data is distributed according to a bivariate normal distribution1. Each ellipse is a boundary - it is expected that the percentage of trainees associated with that ellipse (e.g. 50% of trainees from that provider) will start their first role as NQT within that confidence ellipse. These ellipses become more accurate with higher volumes of data, which in this case is more trainees.2
The Confidence Ellipses may cover areas where no leaver has ever been (for example over the sea) due to the shape of the bivariate normal distribution being an ellipse.
There is a Normal Confidence Ellipse map for each individual provider with a red point at the location of the provider with size proportional to the number of NQTs who have graduated from the provider between 2010 and 2015 and a map of the 95% confidence intervals for all the providers in the region.
The cumulative density curve represents the proportion of people from that provider that have travelled that distance or less from leaving the provider to starting their first post as NQT.
For University of Southampton 47 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 11 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Southampton is higher than the regional average.
For Canterbury Christ Church University 25 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 13 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Canterbury Christ Church University is lower than the regional average.
For University of Oxford 26 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 15 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Oxford is lower than the regional average.
For University of Sussex 38 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 6 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Sussex is higher than the regional average.
For University of Reading 61 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 8 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Reading is higher than the regional average.
For University of Winchester 30 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 14 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Winchester is lower than the regional average.
For University of Brighton 29 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 13 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Brighton is lower than the regional average.
For Oxford Brookes University 32 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 8 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Oxford Brookes University is lower than the regional average.
For University of Portsmouth 55 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 12 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Portsmouth is higher than the regional average.
For University of Chichester 34 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 8 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Chichester is lower than the regional average.
For Kent and Medway Training 71 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 1 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Kent and Medway Training is higher than the regional average.
For Portsmouth Primary SCITT 80 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 11 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Portsmouth Primary SCITT is higher than the regional average.
For South Coast SCITT 74 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 6 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of South Coast SCITT is higher than the regional average.
For Primary Catholic Partnership SCITT 36 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 15 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Primary Catholic Partnership SCITT is higher than the regional average.
For Surrey South Farnham SCITT 48 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 0 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Surrey South Farnham SCITT is higher than the regional average.
For George Abbot SCITT 74 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 0 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of George Abbot SCITT is higher than the regional average.
For Buckingham Partnership 53 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 6 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Buckingham Partnership is higher than the regional average.
For e-Qualitas 27 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 16 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of e-Qualitas is lower than the regional average.
For Two Mile Ash ITT Partnership 97 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 0 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Two Mile Ash ITT Partnership is higher than the regional average.
For All providers in South East 36 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 11 % travel more than 100km.
Due to an assumption being made about the data being normally distributed the confidence ellipses may not be a complete true reflection of the shape of the area where leavers travel post training. However, the size of the ellipses and their direction can provide meaningful comparison of distances travelled from each provider.↩
The Ellipse’s two axes are in the directions of the eigenvectors of the covariance matrix of the bivariate normal distribution and the middle of the ellipse is the mean of the distribution. The half-length of the axes for each confidence level are the square root of the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix multiplied by the square root of the critical value of a Chi-Squared distribution with 2 degrees of freedom for alpha being 0.05 (1-0.95). We use the R package ggplot2 and the function stat_ellipse to calculate and draw the normal ellipse curves.↩