For each Provider which appears in the 2017/18 Initial Teacher Training (ITT) Census and which has more than 50 graduates appearing in the School Workforce Census (SWC) a map of Normal Ellipse Curves and a Cumulative Density Curve are included to detail how far the trainees travel to their first job. We only include providers with more than 50 graduates gaining employment over the timeframe as the distribution of distances travelled between graduating and starting first job as NQT will be more reliable for providers with a higher number of entries in the data.

The Normal Ellipse Maps

A method called Multivariate Normal Confidence Ellipses is used to visualise how far people are travelling from their ITT provider to their first NQT post. This is used to see within what distance trainees are likely to stay after they have finished their ITT.

Normal Ellipses assume the data is distributed according to a bivariate normal distribution¹. Each ellipse is a boundary - it is expected that the percentage of trainees associated with that ellipse (e.g. 50% of trainees from that provider) will start their first role as NQT within that confidence ellipse. These ellipses become more accurate with higher volumes of data, which in this case is more trainees.²

The Confidence Ellipses may cover areas where no leaver has ever been (for example over the sea) due to the shape of the bivariate normal distribution being an ellipse.

There is a Normal Confidence Ellipse map for each individual provider with a red point at the location of the provider with size proportional to the number of NQTs who have graduated from the provider between 2010 and 2015 and a map of the 95% confidence intervals for all the providers in the region.

The Cumulative Density Curve

The cumulative density curve represents the proportion of people from that provider that have travelled that distance or less from leaving the provider to starting their first post as NQT.

Provider Level Analysis

University of Sheffield

For University of Sheffield 51 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 18 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Sheffield is higher than the regional average.

University of York

For University of York 20 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 26 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of York is lower than the regional average.

York St John University

For York St John University 14 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 16 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of York St John University is lower than the regional average.

University of Huddersfield

For University of Huddersfield 64 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 7 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Huddersfield is higher than the regional average.

University of Hull

For University of Hull 40 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 16 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of University of Hull is lower than the regional average.

Sheffield Hallam University

For Sheffield Hallam University 52 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 11 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Sheffield Hallam University is higher than the regional average.

Leeds Trinity University

For Leeds Trinity University 62 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 9 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Leeds Trinity University is higher than the regional average.

Leeds Beckett University

For Leeds Beckett University 48 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 19 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Leeds Beckett University is higher than the regional average.

Leeds SCITT

For Leeds SCITT 70 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 9 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Leeds SCITT is higher than the regional average.

Bradford College

For Bradford College 87 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 3 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Bradford College is higher than the regional average.

Kirklees and Calderdale SCITT

For Kirklees and Calderdale SCITT 89 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 2 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Kirklees and Calderdale SCITT is higher than the regional average.

Doncaster ITT Partnership

For Doncaster ITT Partnership 88 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 2 % travel more than 100km. The percentage of students staying within 25km of Doncaster ITT Partnership is higher than the regional average.

All providers in Yorkshire and The Humber

For All providers in Yorkshire and The Humber 46 % of leavers travel 25km or less to their first job as NQT and 14 % travel more than 100km.

Due to an assumption being made about the data being normally distributed the confidence ellipses may not be a complete true reflection of the shape of the area where leavers travel post training. However, the size of the ellipses and their direction can provide meaningful comparison of distances travelled from each provider.↩
The Ellipse’s two axes are in the directions of the eigenvectors of the covariance matrix of the bivariate normal distribution and the middle of the ellipse is the mean of the distribution. The half-length of the axes for each confidence level are the square root of the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix multiplied by the square root of the critical value of a Chi-Squared distribution with 2 degrees of freedom for alpha being 0.05 (1-0.95). We use the R package ggplot2 and the function stat_ellipse to calculate and draw the normal ellipse curves.↩